Box Office Tracking Spring/Summer 2026: Hits and Flops

Before we get into our analysis let’s first look at a list of the spring summer seasons hits and flops.

Spring Summer 2026 Box Office

Hits

Super Mario Galaxy

Undertone

The Drama

The Mummy

Ready Or Not 2

Project Hail Mary

Backrooms

Michael

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Obsession

Scary Movie

Toy Story 5

Evil Dead Burn

Minions and Monsters

Jackass Best and Last

The Odyssey

Spider-Man Brand New Day

The Invite

Insidious 6

Paw Patrol

Could go either way

Coyote Vs Acme

Flops

The Ice Cream Man

The Dog Stars

Super Troopers 3

The End of Oak Street

Spa Weekend

Mutiny

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

By Any Means

Onslaught

He-Man

One Night Only

Disclosure Day

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Normal

Mother Mary

They Will Kill You

You Me and Tuscany

The Sheep Detectives

Splitizville

Hit Me Hard And Soft

Turner

Passenger

Supergirl

Mortal Kombat 2

Moana

Kiss of the the Spider Woman

This is not every single film that came out in the period, but it is most of them and it shows a number of trends for us to analyse.

Firstly, that lower budgets are key. Films that are coming out with low budgets are often amongst the hits column, as they need to make smaller amounts in order to hit a break even point. This is also true or large 200+ million blockbusters with a lot of these films with inflated budget failing to make their money back, whilst some films still can, having a 200+ million dollar budget is becoming risky. This will likely lead to the use of AI to lower films budgets going forward, this will be incredibly unpopular but is the way Hollywood is trending.

Secondly, is that superhero fatigue and nostalgia are becoming more and more unstable battlegrounds, some films such as the Devil Wears Prada 2 are able to capitalise on nostalgia whereas other films like He-Man simply can’t. There is an idea here about how films are being marketed and the need to market it just right to hit into that nostalgia. Increasingly, legacy sequels and remakes are falling flat and there needs to be much tighter pitches for why they should exist, something can no longer just exist because it was once a popular IP, broader fan communication will most likely be sought to see what markets want. As for superhero fatigue it does seem to be alive and well, Supergirl flopped, however certain films may be immune to it with Brand New Day being the most successful film of the summer. In a sense it seems like characters such as the Avengers, Spider-Man and Bat-Man who are evergreen are able to weather this growing fatigue. There is a real question to ask about whether it is superhero fatigue or bad film fatigue, however, it does appear that Marvel and likely DC will be centring future releases around more tested characters reducing the likelihood of an Animal Man film in the next 3 years.

Thirdly, is the idea that cinema is increasingly being built around events. As going to the cinema becomes more and more expensive people are only going out for spectacle. This can be a low budget horror film that blows up on social media, ala Obsession or it can be a massive event film like the Odyssey or Project Hail Mary. From this you can expect more films that seek out IMAX formatting to give them the spectacle edge.

Fourthly, the family market appears to be becoming unstable with some franchises able to stay relevant mainly through animation, but with Disney’s trend of live action remakes ending badly. There will be pressure within Disney to change course on the live action remakes in favour of focusing more tightly into newer animated or live action films. Expect some disruption later this year where there are several major animated films coming out.

Fifthly and finally is the fact that late August is increasingly becoming a dumping half month where a lot of films are being sent out to die. Last year at least there was Weapons but now it seems like a lot of studios use up their A and B material in June and July and then come August things start to rapidly decline

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Spa Weekend: Middle Age Definitely, Middle Of The Road Probably

Summary: a group of women go on a spa weekend.

The central issue with this film is that we have seen it before, a group of women who have let life takeover their friendship reconnect and achieve growth milestones. If you ignore the various male films that have had this premise, Bad Moms, Rough Night, Bridesmaid etc have all done variants of this sort of premise. As such nothing in this film feels very fresh.

Isla Fisher is probably the beating heart of this film and easily steals the show, her performance works on a number of levels and she easily out-classes the other performers with ease.

There are a few funny moments herein and a couple of laugh out loud ones but sadly they are too few and far between.

A comment on this film for its plot is, that it is starting to grow stale and trite that we can only explore the friendships of middle aged women through the lens of them being unhappy with their life, can we not see women in their prime happy and reconnecting. Likewise why in 2026 do we boil a woman down to one characteristic, we have a character here who is angry all the time and her journey is to stop being so angry that is incredibly simplistic and bad character work.

Overall, a film you have seen before

3/5.

It’s comfort viewing

It has a few funny moments

Fisher is great

Cons.

It’s reductive and reinforces cliches

It is incredibly derivative

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Mutiny: An Alien World

Summary: Jason Statham is fighting human trafficking in a hard to define location, that doesn’t seem to operate like anywhere else on Earth.

This is a deeply forgettable action film that makes you think why bother, it follows on from other Statham films like A Working Man wherein Statham is working for and deeply loyal to an employer and then something negative happens to them and he has to sort it out.

What should have been a film about corporate espionage and Statham going after this rival syndicate that had this employer killed instead turned into him getting stuck on a boat and killing people on that instead.

Unlike his other recent ventures like the Beekeeper there is not even that much of a novelty gimmick to it, he could have killed people using nautical equipment and made sea puns as one liners. Sadly we get a lot of gun and knife kills so very generic.

For a cheap leading lady they draft back in Anabelle Wallis who hear manages to do and inconsistent American accent. Why she is in this film is an open question as she doesn’t really serve that much of a purpose, she doesn’t end up with Statham at the end and she doesn’t do all that much action wise.

Overall, not worth the price of admission

2/5

Pros.

A few good kills

The action choreography

Cons.

It’s generic

At times it’s boring

Wallis

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Cinema Issues: The Problem With Lanterns

Let’s review James Gunn’s DCU for a moment we have a Superman film which underperforms, but just about breaks even, we have a Supergirl film that flops we have a cartoon no one watched and we have this. There is a string of cancelled or abandoned projects as well which makes it all the worse that this got made.

Now you may remember the writers of the show through the name Green Lantern was embarrassing so they just called it Lanterns this was the way they meant to go on.

Now the first episode is out of Hal Jordan, the white guy, who was the original comics Green Lantern for many years was bluntly killed off and the writers are joking to the press oh the fans will hate us. Maybe they will bring him back and have the death be a shape shifter, this then just makes this a fake out death for attention which is equally as bad.

They don’t give a toss for the fans or the comics or anything like that it is abundantly clear what they are trying to do here and that is to create race bait and focus on Jon Stewart, the black guy, in order to make a point. No doubt much like with the Watchman show the real baddy will be small town racism rather than anything more fantastical.No one in the mid west is going on and on about colonialism.

They likely think much like with Rian Johnson and Episode 8 that by throwing away the well known and well-liked character they are being clever or subverting expectations but they aren’t, it just comes off as pandering.

No doubt the series will have bad viewership ratings. House of the Dragon in its third season had in the twenties of millions in its first few days, this has had only nine million in the same time period.

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Coyote Vs Acme: The Looney Tunes Are Back

Summary: Wiley sues Acme for the millions of bad products they have sold him over time.

Live action animation projects often have a history of producing mixed results however, every now and then there is one that comes along that really works, Looney Tunes Back In Action was this, The Sonic movies too, and very much to its credit so is this film.

It finds a use for all of the most prominent Looney Tunes characters, except for Marvin the Martian, and Speedy Gonzales and creates a world and a story where they don’t feel forced in but like a natural part.

The story itself was very heart warming with the relationship between Will Forte’s lawyer character and Willie becoming the core of the film. The mystery of what Acme is doing is also interesting and quite deep philosophically for a kids film.

The only issue the film has is a structural issue, it makes little sense how the film wraps up, it would have made sense for Acme to be taken down during the congressional hearing. Not as the film does it immediately after Acme winning the case and only because Bugs leaked evidence, it would have made sense for Bugs to show up at the congressional hearing with the evidence as well and have Acme lose.

Overall, the best thing out of the Looney Tunes in years

4.5/5

Pros.

The world

The inter character relationships

Forte and Condor

The references and callbacks

It’s funny

Cons.

The structure of the ending

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The End Of Oak Street: We Got This Instead Of It Follows 2?

Summary: A street gets transported back in time.

This is the sort of film that Steven Speilberg would have made about ten years ago, when he was in his rough patch, which arguably he never got out of.

There is a lot of modernity here, the mother, Anne Hathaway wishes to leave her family and has to overcome that. She also showcases female rage by screaming at her son, not her daughter immediately after the death of his father. The death of the father, Ewan McGregor feels odd it doesn’t make a lot of narrative sense after he knocks out the dinosaur with a sledgehammer seemingly he turns his back and is then killed. However it would have made more sense with how the sense is framed if he was about to be saved in some way. Hathaway’s character later saves him in the future.

The tone is also off, this is clearly presented as a thriller yet there are forced in moments of levity, for example before his death McGregor and Hathway observe some dinosaur sex.

There are some good thrills and the film itself is serviceable if you just want to see a mindless blockbuster with dinosaurs. Even with the modernity it isn’t bad, it is just a genetic film with a number of eye role moments.

Overall, deeply mediocre.

2.5/5

Pros.

A few good thrills

It is serviceable

There are dinosaurs and they look okay

Cons.

The tone

Hathaway’s character

The ending is contrived

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I Love Boosters: Glamorising Theft

Summary: one Hollywood luvies take on capitalism.

Let’s get one thing clear stealing from shops doesn’t make you a modern day Robin Hood, it makes you a criminal. When you take things from shop it costs jobs and possibly even branches. You may not care as corporations are evil, but those workers still have to go home and tell their kids why they won’t eat tonight.

Boots Riley screams capitalism is evil whilst making a film, a hugely capitalist endeavour, the irony appears lost. Riley thinks encouraging audiences to steal from shops and some form of socialist fightback is a great message when it’s really not well thought through.

Of course race has to play into it as God forbid a black director make a film that is not about being black, the black experience, racism, systemic oppression, slavery or something along those lines.

The villain is a white woman who the film labels a fake feminist, she is rich and so not a comrade, also this film is a male director presenting women tearing down other women, as a purity test. There is something deeply messed up about a male director saying who is a proper feminist and who isn’t and then making it about money.

Once again we are shown at the box office that preaching doesn’t pay off, if Riley wants to go and steal from his local store that’s on him, but to waste millions of dollars trying to promote criminality is just a waste of everyone’s time and money.

Overall, morally bankrupt.

1/5

Pros.

Keke Palmer is great

Cons.

The characters are unlikable

The message is awful

It promotes criminality

It is a male director tearing down women

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Cinema Issues: Marvel Doesn’t Seem To Understand The X-Men

We have talked previously about the deviant morality in Hollywood and how a lot of modern screen writers cannot understand right from wrong. Well to this point consider Jean Grey in Brand New Day she is a murderer, she throws a man in front of a taxi, she drives a tank into a building full of people and blows it up amongst other things. However, the writers say she is just acting in rage so it’s fine and that she didn’t kill anyone directly, which is untrue.

Not only does this horribly butcher the character, please look at the comics wherein Jean’s sister is actually kidnapped notice how she handles it there, notice how she doesn’t endanger civilians and throw them in front of cars, it also shows they don’t understand the X-Men.

The idea that something bad has happened to you therefore you can fly into a rage and do whatever you like consequence free, is simply not true it is the philosophy of kids and progressives. Even when you’re upset you have to make moral choices and must hold yourself to that line. When Uncle Ben died did Spider-Man kill the killer, no. Did he go around throwing people in front of taxis for no reason, no. Yet jean did.

This reflects the fact that Hollywood no longer understands the concept of good vs bad, they only understand the concept of getting what they want and lashing out if they don’t get it. That philosophy of Hollywood and the left is why when they are offended they scream death threats at people, Jean Grey herein is a manifestation of that.

In the world of the X-Men the idea is that the world fears and hates them but they do good and risk their lives to save regular humans. If the X-Men are throwing random people in front of taxis then the world will be right to fear them and that fundamentally isn’t the X-Men at all. You could argue she hasn’t met Charles Xavier yet but the film presents her as being an adult she should still have a moral compass and shouldn’t need Charles to teach morality to her.

This all comes on the heels of the X-Men director for the MCU’s attempt at these characters saying that they will showing new stuff never before seen on screen. That is a colossal red flag, yes there are many great X-Men comics that haven’t been adapted however, it is almost certain they don’t mean that, they likely mean they’ll make up new adventures for these characters. With the way in which they introduced Jean Grey being so out of character and just so wrong this fills us with concern.

The butchering of Jean’s character isn’t the worst of it, it is the precedent it sets that is by far the more troubling thing.

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Leviticus: Taking Aim At The Wrong People

Summary: two young LGBTQ teens face the supernatural and prejudice.

Lets be blunt in the West most LGBTQ+ teens do not face being forced into conversion therapy, maybe in backwoods areas living about 50 years in the past but not in the modern west, and that includes Australia.

By and large most sects of Christianity have also come to accept LGBTQ people, not that you would know from this film. In many ways the horror herein is a means to attack Christianity even though it has long since accepted them. There could be an idea made that they are too afraid to go after the groups that do not accept them as that would be un-pc the Church makes for a better target.

The horror here is nothing new, they try and say it is different as it features LGBTQ characters and themes but honestly queer horror has evolved far beyond this sort of thing. In many ways this film is based around putting identity first and trying to make a statement but that has been done before what this film is trying to say has been said better before.

The real issue here is that this film feels like it is trying to mimic other queer horror films from the recent past.

Overall, one or two good scares but by and large just more of the same you have seen before.

1.5/5

A few good scares

It is well paced

Cons.

It is repetitive

The commentary feels outdated

It is directing ire in the wrong direction

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Cinema Issues: Career Suicide The Story Of Yahya Abdul-Mateen ii and Mahershala Ali

Recently Marvel has come under attack from stars of projects that didn’t happen in the case of Ali and from stars of shows that did not get renewed in the case of Abdul-Manteen, the accusation is the same, as the black show or film was not made, or renewed therefore racism. This is the very peak of entitled, you are not owed a project or a second season, the fact that shows like Eyes of Wakanda are made, and that Black Panther and Sam Wilson are central to the Marvel universe show that there is no racism going on.

What is going on is that these stars of colour think they can throw around accusations in order to get what they want, but as the case of Blake Lively will tell you that is a dumb strategy to try. First to Abdul-Manteen’s argument of optics, black shows are not the only ones being cancelled or not renewed for season two, look at Hawkeye, look at the scrapped sequel for the Eternals, but this is an inconvenient fact.

The movie going public are well aware of actors like this trying to claim to be the victim whilst they live in their mansions, and they are starting to get sick of it. The fact is the black audience, in countries that matter to the box office, so the collective west and large Asian markets, is so small that they could boycott the next wave of Marvel projects and it would not effect the bottom line at all, Africa as a market does not matter to the box office at all. All of that is to say, that trying to claim you’re an abused black man because you didn’t get a film or second season is not a winning strategy.

Moreover, look what happened to other ‘stars’ who ran their mouth about Disney/Marvel and had an acrimonious divorce with the studio, Tatiana Maslany’s She Hulk might as well be non-canon with a lot of the events of her show having been ignored. Then there is the case of Oscar Issac who threw away the chance of Moon Knight ever getting a second season after he came after Disney for suspending Jimmy Kimmel. Blade can get a new film post Secret Wars with Snipes, Ali has put himself out of business, and if Disney ever did want to bring back Simon Williams there are plenty of other actors who could take over the part.

Behaving in the way these two men have, with the level of entitlement and using their race as a card to mean they cannot be fired and that they must be given things is disgusting. The idea of equality is that everyone is treated the same so if Issac and Maslany can get themselves fired and their characters written off so should these two men.

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